This issue of the USC US-China Institute's Talking Points newsletter highlights auto industry links between the U.S. and China. It also includes our comprehensive calendar of China-focused events and exhibitions across North America.
Chen, "Empirical explorations on Alonso's five bell-shaped propositions: The case of Taiwan," 1991
Xueming Chen, Ph.D.
This study empirically explores Alonso's five bell-shaped propositions (1979) by using Taiwan's development experience during the last four decades. That Taiwan has manifested bell-shaped curves for its five development processes, that interactive relations among different processes are endogenously determined, and that demographic transition is relatively independent, all support Alonso's five bell-shaped propositions. The study also makes a comparison of the U.S. and Taiwan in support of Easterlin's version of the hypothesis: bell-shaped curves can also be observed along an income axis and short-term bell-shaped curves might be affected more by endogenous forces than by policy interventions. The study has found: (1) given that particular forces underlying the turning points of the five processes are not necessarily the same, it seems unlikely to have a "universally-accepted" temporal sequence of turning points; (2) bell-shaped curves exist not only in the long run, but also in the short run. It is concluded that the bell-shaped curves of more recently developed countries might take less time than those of the "first-world" countries because later development has benefitted by importing available technology, taking advantage of decades of innovation and elaboration. Finally, this dissertation makes two methodological contributions: (1) a discussion of the feasibility of applying the cross-impact techniques to studies on interactive relations among the five development processes; (2) a design of a new index for measuring geographic concentration. (Copies available exclusively from Micrographics Department, Doheny Library, USC, Los Angeles, CA 90089-0182.)
Advisor: Gordon, Peter
The Thanksgiving 2017 issue of Talking Points reviews Chinese doubts about the taste of turkey, TV pioneer Joyce Chen, and offers two poems. And we offer our comprehensive calendar of China-focused events and exhibitions across North America.